Friday, August 09, 2013

[Portuguese SuperCup] Porto vs Guimarães

Porto vs Guimarães
10/08 8:45pm



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This is the first big test for both teams and  the first real trophy of the season.


Porto made a good pré-season. The players sold Moutinho and James Rodriguez were important but those who arrive are also very good and they´re adapting very well.
A special look to Ghilas, that is a second option with a quality that Porto do not see for many years on the bench.
Josué on the center brings a great mentality to the team and good football. 
Quintero didn´t played many minutes but he showed that is a great option, not only for Lucho place but also to the wings.

Porto is playing a great football, the changes due Paulo Fonseca ideas aren´t many and that point is positive  to see them playing  good football since the first games.
 
Players called to this game :
Helton e Fabiano; Lucho, Maicon, Fucile, Josué, Jackson, Quintero, Ghilas, Herrera, Varela, Licá, Mangala, Fernando, Alex Sandro, Kelvin, Otamendi and Defour.

Possible lineup :

Helton, Fucile (due to Danilo suspension),Otamendi,Mangala,Alex Sandro, Defour,Fernando , Lucho, Varela, Jackson and Licá


Guimarães after win the cup against Benfica has now the chance of play one more trophy and they will do it all to grab it.
They are known due the big number of followers and for sure they will fill their  places in stadium, which is less an handicap for them in this game.

Pre-season for Guimarães started very well and after 3 wins with none goals taken, they´ve lost  against Moreirense by 1-0 and a surprisingly 4-1 against Gil Vicente.
This Guimarães lost some important players to some clubs, including for Porto.
Ricardo, Tiago Rodrigues, Soudani, Baldé are the most important losses from last season and all connected with the attack, where this team is now weaker.

Rui Vitoria ( Guimarães coach ) has some problems to solve, specially if Tomané that only striker available do not recover, which at the time of this article is almost certain that he will appear on the start XI.
Kanu the RB,  Mazzou ST are injured and Tomané ST is doubtful but I expect that he playes on Saturday.

Rui Vitoria should also bring back  Moreno to the CB in order to give more experience to this sector. In this case Josue is relegated to the bench.

This will be a team just defending their net and wait for some space to apply some counters, just has they did on Cup semifinals last year with Belenenses and then with Benfica.

Even waiting for counters I do not believe that Defour and Fernando will give them many chances.

Possible lineup :

Douglas,  Pedro Correia, Paulo Oliveira, Moreno, Addy, Leonoel Olimpio, André, Barrientos, Ricardo, Marco Matias and Tomané

I expect a tremendous physical game on the first half, with Guimarães trying to delay the goal from Porto. It will be on 2nd half when some tiredness that it will  be noticed the difference of solutions and quality.

If I had to risk on a correct score , 3-0 or 3-1 would be my shot to this final.

Flat Stake = 10/10, we will use 1.5 of our Flat Stake on this game.


Porto AH -1.5 @1.85  10/10

Secondary bet :

Highest Scoring half - 2nd Half @2.10 - 5/10


"Let´s grow that ROI"

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