Thursday, May 23, 2013

[Champions League] Final - Bayer Munich vs Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer Munich
25/05 7:45pm



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Saturday Night is the Champions League Final, a game that will put two German teams face to face in England field, Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern Munich.


Bayern Munich is doing an awesome season, while BVB is doing an awesome CL campaign!

After a Championship with more than 20 points of advantage to the 2nd, 7-0 on a CL semi final against Barcelona... I really can´t understand why Jupp Heynckes will be switched for Pepe Guardiola.
This team of Bayer has no weaknesses, they have decimated Barcelona and almost everyone wait the same destiny against BVB.
Bayer is with full power for this game and their team should pass through :

                    Neuer
Lahm   Boateng  Dante   Alaba

Schweinsteiger    Javi Martinez
                  Muller
 Robben                     Ribery
                  Gomez

They´ve an incredible attack, with experience in European finals, 70% of his lineup played last year final against Chelsea.

In my analysis, to do a large result on Saturday against an internal rival is not so easy, they know how to play against this big team and they already played twice this season, 1-0 for Bayer and 1-1. The draw was a game after know that they would face each other on the final, so, we can´t take many thoughts from this game.

J. Klopp, BVB coach is a world revelation that will be a great challenge for Pepe on next season.
For this game BVB can´t count with on of their rising stars, Gotze ( already sold to the rival Bayern ) is injured since the 2nd leg against Real Madrid.

This game is a final and no one wants to lose it, is expected to see both teams having more precautions on the beginning of the game and start taking risks only on 2nd half or if a goal is taken.
More goals on the second half is one of the value bets for this game, together with Both to score, because I do not believe that the team who suffer the first goals won´t be capable to score.
These two teams have a strong mentality... After all they´re German!

On 1x2 market, I have no doubt that Bayern is favorite, but @5.1 for Borussia win against @1.75 for Bayer?

We can´t accept that deal!

Borussia has Kuba, Gundogan, Lewandowsky, Reus and they know how to create problems to this Bayern, special if Bayer decides to balance on the attack thinking that they´re a very superior team.
 @3.5 - @2 would be much more acceptable odds for a game that I do not see such an underdog like odds transmit. Therefore, in my opinion, exist value on backing AH +0.75 for Borussia, at least, with half of your flat stake.




Highest Scoring half -  2nd @2.2  - 5/10

Borussia Dormund AH +0.75 @2.00 - 5/10


Both teams to score @1.74 - 5/10


*5/10 means  50% of your flat stake 





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